The 2024 NFL schedule is rapidly approaching, meaning it is time to begin thinking about Week 1 NFL survivor picks. Making winning 2024 NFL knockout picks is all about surviving longer than anybody else in your group. However, NFL survivor strategy varies from player to player. Some simply choose the biggest favorite each week in hopes of surviving and advancing, while others will closely study the 2024 NFL schedule and take on more risk early in hopes of getting favorable matchups later in the season.
The Bills are 6.5-point favorites against the Cardinals, the Bengals are -9.5 against the Patriots and the 49ers are -5 against the Jets in the Week 1 NFL odds. Are those the safest Week 1 NFL survivor pick, or are there smaller favorites, or even underdogs, who can give you an edge? Before finalizing any Week 1 NFL survivor picks, see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season on an incredible 181-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 35-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL odds and locked in its Week 1 survivor pool pick. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.
Top Week 1 NFL survivor pool predictions
In Week 1 of the 2024 NFL season, the model is shying away from the Miami Dolphins, even though they’re coming off an 11-6 season and are favored over a Jaguars team that went 9-8 and missed the playoffs. Miami is coming off an 11-6 campaign, but the Dolphins struggled mightily down the stretch in 2023. They lost three of their last five games and then weren’t competitive against the Chiefs in a 26-7 playoff loss.
Jacksonville is coming off a 9-8 campaign and actually played better on the road last year, where the Jags had a 5-3 straight-up record. Oddsmakers are giving Jacksonville more than a field goal, but SportsLine’s model projects that this game comes down to a single point. Miami also has more favorable matchups coming up against the Titans and Patriots in the next few weeks, so the model has found far better Week 1 NFL survivor picks. See which team to pick here.
How to make Week 1 NFL survivor pool picks
Instead, the model is backing a surprising home team that wins outright in almost 80% of simulations. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.
Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 1 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 1, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL and is up well over $7,000 since its inception.
