CMAC tickets, parking, advice for concertgoers
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Buds are starting to blossom and temperatures are on the rise. As spring starts to unfold in New York, many are already looking ahead to summer.
The Old Farmer’s Almanac has released its long-range summer weather forecast. Depending on where you live in the Empire State will impact your predicted weather. After last year marked one of the hottest summers on record, the Old Farmer’s Almanac has predicted this summer will be just as intense with “a scorcher of a summer.”
Hot and dry conditions are expected throughout much of the country in June, July and August.
According to the report, “predictions indicate a gradual buildup to record-breaking heat.” June temperatures are expected near normal, but July and August are expected to bring above-normal temperatures across most regions, including for much of New York state.
Western New York, including the Buffalo and Rochester regions and some counties along the Lake Erie and Ontario shorelines, are predicted to experience hot and rainy weather this summer, according to the Old Farmer’s Almanac forecast.
NY summer forecast 2025: How much rain will fall?
The Old Farmers’ Almanac’s summer forecast also includes summer outlooks for precipitation and calls for “near to slightly below normal” rainfall across most of the country, especially in the western half. Northern and central New England could see more precipitation than normal, the outlook said.
What about NOAA, AccuWeather, Farmer’s Almanac forecasts?
In general, the forecast parallels the National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center’s outlook for summer, with much of the country expected to experience above average temperatures from June to August and about half the nation to get average or above average precipitation in that same timeframe. The Farmer’s Almanac also predicts above- to high-above average temperatures, as well as near-average precipitation for much of the country.
In New York, the almanac predicts “broiling” temperatures and average precipitation, according to the report.
AccuWeather also predicts a hot summer across much of the country, though parts of the northeastern United States, including New York, are predicted to feel normal to below-historical-average temperatures this summer.
“Don’t be fooled, we’ll still have some hot and humid stretches in this region from time to time,” said AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Expert Paul Pastelok. And New York City is still predicted to experience at least a dozen 90-degree days this summer, compared to 21 last summer. On average, NYC sees 16 90-degree days each summer, according to AccuWeather data.
When is the first day of summer?
June 20, the date of the summer equinox, marks the first day of summer in the United States. This year it lands on a Friday and summer solstice is at 10:42 p.m. Meteorological summer, however, begins at the start of June and lasts three months, through the end of August.
When does summer end?
Summer will end with the start of fall – which in 2025 lands on Monday, Sept. 22.
How does The Old Farmer’s Almanac make predictions?
According to its website, the Old Farmer’s Almanac makes its predictions by comparing solar activity with weather patterns. The almanac says it uses multiple academic disciplines for its predictions, including solar science, climatology and meteorology. It also says the weather forecast methodology is the modern version of a formula created by the Almanac’s founder, Robert B. Thomas, in 1792.
How accurate are the Old Farmer’s Almanac’s predictions?
The Old Farmer’s Almanac, which is slightly different from the Farmers’ Almanac, claims an 80% accuracy rate on its predictions. In a report analyzing the success of its predictions for winter that spanned 2023 and 2024, the Almanac listed its total accuracy rate for the season at 64%. The publication attributed the lower rate to “abnormal recent weather patterns.”