If rest advantages matter to you with NFL playoff bets, then three of the four games on the divisional round NFL schedule should stick out. The two teams coming off byes not only have that week advantage, but they also get teams coming off short weeks. Broncos vs. Bills and Seahawks vs. 49ers take place on Saturday, with the No. 1 seeds facing teams coming off Sunday games. Buffalo is a 1.5-point underdog against Denver, per the divisional round NFL odds, while Seattle is favored by 7 points over San Fran.
On Sunday, Rams vs. Bears has both teams coming off Saturday games, while Patriots vs. Texans sees Houston coming off a short week. The Bears vs. Rams series has seen the home team win each of the last five matchups between the two, as L.A. is favored by 3.5 points on the road. Meanwhile, the Pats are at -3 to make divisional round NFL picks on, and they are 7-1 all-time at home versus Houston.
Before locking in any NFL bets, make sure you see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the Divisional Round of the 2026 NFL playoffs on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following could have seen HUGE returns!
Now, the model has evaluated the latest NFL odds, simulated every snap for the divisional round of the 2026 NFL playoffs, and the results are in.
We can tell you one of the model’s strongest divisional round NFL picks is that the Bears (+3.5, 48.5) cover at home versus the Rams on Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET. The model has Chicago prevailing versus the spread well over 50% of the time, and it also says the Over hits in over 50% of simulations.
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other NFL game this week and just revealed an underdog projected to outright win! You ABSOLUTELY NEED to see its NFL picks for every game before you make any NFL bets of your own!
