In the final game of Week 13, Bo Nix, Courtland Sutton and the Denver Broncos (7-5) take on Jameis Winston, Nick Chubb and the Cleveland Browns (3-8) on “Monday Night Football” (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN). The Broncos, led by head coach Sean Payton, have thrived under their rookie QB Nix. He has quietly put together a string of solid performances, throwing for more than 200 yards and two or more touchdowns in four of his past five games. Denver currently has an inside track to a playoff spot in Nix’s first year under center and is -170 to make the playoff at ESPN BET.
Meanwhile, the Browns are all but out of any playoff conversation but pulled off a surprising upset victory over the Pittsburgh Steelers in Week 12 before going on bye last week. Winston has lit it up through the air, and despite being fourth place in the AFC North, Cleveland has victories over the top two teams in the division. Do the Browns have another upset on their hands Monday night?
Here is everything you need to know to bet on Browns-Broncos on “Monday Night Football” and Eric Moody’s favorite picks for the game.
Odds current as of publish time, courtesy of ESPN BET
Game lines
Spread: Broncos (-6)
Moneyline: Broncos (-290), Browns (+240)
Over/Under: 42.5 points (Over -110/Under -110)
First-half spread: Broncos -3.5 (-115), Browns +3.5 (-105)
First-half moneyline: Broncos (-220), Browns (+170)
Browns total points: 23.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Broncos total points: 17.5 (Over Even/Under -130)
The props
Passing
Bo Nix total passing yards: 224.5 (Over -110/Under -120)
Nix total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over +120/Under -160)
Jameis Winston total passing yards: 224.5 (Over -130/Under Even)
Winston total passing TDs: 1.5 (Over +150/Under -200)
Rushing
Nick Chubb total rushing yards: 59.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
Javonte Williams total rushing yards: 34.5 (Over -120/Under -110)
Nix total rushing yards: 19.5 (Over -115/Under -115)
Receiving
Courtland Sutton total receiving yards: 49.5 (Over -135/Under +105)
Jerry Jeudy total receiving yards: 59.5 (Over +110/Under -140)
David Njoku total receiving yards: 44.5 (Over -125/Under -105)
Elijah Moore total receiving yards: 39.5 (Over -130/Under Even)
Devaughn Vele total receiving yards: 34.5 (Over -105/Under -125)
Betting trends
Courtesy ESPN Research
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The Broncos have covered six straight games as favorites, including 5-0 ATS this season.
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The Broncos are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games and 3-0 ATS in their last three.
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The Broncos are 6-0 ATS against teams with losing records this season.
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Jameis Winston is 15-9-1 ATS as an underdog of at least four points in his career. He is 2-0 outright in that spot since leaving the Buccaneers, including a win as a 7.5-point home underdog against the Ravens in Week 8. The Browns are 8-4-1 ATS when getting at least four points under Kevin Stefanski.
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The Browns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine Monday Night Football games (1-3 ATS under Kevin Stefanski).
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Broncos 1st-half overs are 10-2 this season, the 2nd-best mark in the NFL (Panthers: 10-1).
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Browns team totals are 9-2 to the under this season, the highest under percentage in the NFL.
Eric Moody’s picks
Courtland Sutton over 59.5 receiving yards
This feels like a strong play. He’s cleared this number in five straight games, averaging 9.6 targets and catching 75% of them during that stretch. The chemistry between Sutton and quarterback Bo Nix has been undeniable, and now they face a Browns defense allowing the eighth-most receiving yards per game to wide receivers. With his consistency and workload, Sutton is well-positioned to hit this mark again.
Nick Chubb under 59.5 rushing yards
He hasn’t hit this mark in any game this season, averaging just 14.6 carries and a dismal 3.1 yards per attempt. The matchup doesn’t help either — the Broncos’ defensive front ranks 13th in run-stop win rate and allows the sixth-fewest rushing yards per game to running backs. This isn’t the spot for Chubb to break out, so I’m taking the under.
