There are only four teams left in the MLB playoffs, but that’s not going to stop the SI Betting team from betting on a few home run props each night.
On Sunday, the ALCS kicks off with the Seattle Mariners taking on the Toronto Blue Jays with an interesting pitching matchup between Bryce Miller and Kevin Gausman.
Miller allowed 17 home runs in 18 starts during the regular season, and he may be a pitcher to fade in this matchup.
Meanwhile, Gausman shut down the New York Yankees in Game 1 of the ALDS, and posted a 3.59 ERA during the regular season.
Let’s dive into a few players to bet on to hit a home run on Sunday night.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook
Cal Raleigh to Hit a Home Run (+248)
This is a terrific matchup for All-Star catcher Cal Raleigh, even though Gausman pitched well in his first game of the 2025 postseason.
In his career against Gausman, Raleigh is hitting 5-for-12 (.417) with three home runs and a 1.628 OPS. He’s homered in a quarter of his at bats all time against Gausman.
Raleigh crushed 60 home runs during the regular season, and he homered once in the ALDS, posting a .381 batting average and 1.051 OPS against Detroit.
He’s been red hot to open the postseason, and I love betting on him to go yard in a familiar matchup on Sunday.
Addison Barger to Hit a Home Run (+398)
Toronto outfielder Addison Barger appeared in three of the four games in the ALDS, and he hit the cover off the ball against New York.
Barger was 4-for-12 against New York, and he had three hits (including a double) in the final game of the series.
During the regular season, Barger homered 21 times with 20 of them coming against right-handed pitching. Miller is certainly prone to the long ball, allowing 17 in 18 outings in 2025 while posting an expected ERA of 5.29.
He also ranked in the second percentile in hard-hit percentage. So, it wouldn’t be shocking to see the Jays tag Miller early on on Sunday.
Barger is a right-handed killer, posting a .249/.308/.480 slash line against them in 2025.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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