Copa América 2024 group scenarios, tiebreakers: How USA can still advance to quarterfinals

The group stage of Copa América 2024 is entering its final round and the United States men’s national team needs a big result against Uruguay on Monday (9 p.m. ET on FOX and the FOX Sports app) to advance to the knockout stage after falling to Panama 2-1 on Thursday.

If the U.S. doesn’t win against Urugay, which routed Bolivia 5-0 on Wednesday, it can still advance, but only if everything plays out in its favor in the match between Panama and Bolivia (9 p.m. ET on FOX and the FOX Sports app).

Here’s a full breakdown of how the remaining teams can still advance to the quarterfinals:

Group A

• Argentina wins the group and advances to the quarterfinals.
• Canada is the runner-up and advances to the quarterfinals.
• Peru is eliminated and will not advance.
• Chile is eliminated and will not advance.

Group B

• Venezuela has qualified for the quarterfinal, and will win the group with a win or draw against Jamaica.
• Ecuador advances with a win or draw against Mexico, as they are ahead of them in goal difference.
• Mexico advances with a win against Ecuador; cannot draw against them as they are behind on goal difference.
• Mexico can win the group if they defeat Ecuador, Venezuela loses to Jamaica, and they have a better goal difference than Venezuela.
• Jamaica has been eliminated.

Group C

• No team in this group has qualified or been eliminated yet.
• Uruguay wins the group with a win or draw against USA.
• Uruguay can advance with a loss against USA and a win or draw from Bolivia against Panama (tiebreakers would determine first and second between USA and Uruguay).
• Uruguay can advance with a loss against USA and a win from Panama over Bolivia, but would also need to win tiebreakers (as three teams would then have six points).
• USA advances with a win or draw against Uruguay and a win from Bolivia over Panama.
• USA can advance with a win against Uruguay and a win from Panama over Bolivia, but would also need to win tiebreakers (as three teams would then have six points).
• USA can advance with a draw against Uruguay and a draw between Panama and Bolivia (would advance over Panama in this scenario as they are ahead on goal difference).
• USA can advance with a loss against Uruguay and a win from Bolivia over Panama, but would also need to win tiebreakers (as three teams would then be tied with three points).
• Panama advances with a win against Bolivia and a win or draw from Uruguay over USA.
• Panama advances with a draw against Bolivia and a win from Uruguay over USA.
• Panama can also advance with a win against Bolivia and a win from USA over Uruguay, but would need to win tiebreakers to be in the top two (as three teams would then have six points).
• Bolivia advances if they defeat Panama and Uruguay defeats USA, but they would also need to win tiebreakers (as three teams would then be tied with three points).
• Bolivia cannot win the group.

Group D

• Colombia has advanced.
• Brazil can advance with a win or draw against Colombia.
• Bazil can also advance with a loss provided it wins the goal differential with Costa Rica (Brazil is +3, Costa Rica is -3).
• Costa Rica can advance with a win vs. Paraguay, a Brazil defeat and a six-goal turnaround between the two to end up with more goals scored than Brazil. Currently, Brazil has scored four goals; Costa Rica hasn’t scored.
• Paraguay has been eliminated.

Tiebreaker criteria

1. Goal difference in all group matches
2. Most goals scored in all group matches
3. Head-to-Head points between the tied teams
4. Head-to-Head goal difference between the tied teams
5. Most goals scored between the tied teams
6. Fewest red cards
7. Fewest yellow cards
8. Drawing of lots

Scenarios courtesy of FOX Sports Research.