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We want your predictions for UFC Fight Night 261. Our staff picks feature includes the consensus picks from MMA Junkie readers. Simply cast your vote for each bout below, and we’ll use the official tallies that are registered by Friday at noon ET (9 a.m. PT).
Those reader consensus picks will be part of the main card staff predictions we release ahead of UFC Fight Night 261 (ESPN+), which takes place Saturday at Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro.
Make your picks below.
Luan Lacerda vs. Saimon Oliveira
- Records: Lacerda (12-3 MMA, 0-2 UFC), Oliveira (18-6 MMA, 0-3 UFC)
- Division: Bantamweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Lacerda -265, Oliveira +200
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Julia Polastri
- Records: Kowalkiewicz (16-9 MMA, 9-9 UFC), Polastri (13-5 MMA, 1-2 UFC)
- Division: Women’s strawweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Kowalkiewicz +300, Polastri -400
Mohammed Usman vs. Valter Walker
- Records: Usman (11-4 MMA, 4-2 UFC), Walker (14-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC)
- Division: Heavyweight
- Rankings: Walker honorable mention
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Usman +240, Walker -330
Stewart Nicoll vs. Lucas Rocha
- Records: Nicoll (8-1 MMA, 0-1 UFC), Rocha (17-2 MMA, 0-1 UFC)
- Division: Flyweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Nicoll +100, Rocha -130
Irina Alekseeva vs. Bia Mesquita
- Records: Alekseeva (5-3 MMA, 1-2 UFC), Mesquita (5-0 MMA, 0-0 UFC)
- Division: Women’s bantamweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Alekseeva +430, Mesquita -670
Thomas Petersen vs. Vitor Petrino
- Records: Petersen (10-3 MMA, 2-2 UFC), Petrino (12-2 MMA, 5-2 UFC)
- Division: Heavyweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Petersen +220, Petrino -295
Clayton Carpenter vs. Jafel Filho
- Records: Carpenter (8-1 MMA, 2-1 UFC), Filho (16-4 MMA, 2-2 UFC)
- Division: Flyweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Carpenter -120, Filho -105
Lucas Almeida vs. Michael Aswell
- Records: Almeida (15-4 MMA, 2-3 UFC), Aswell (10-3 MMA, 0-1 UFC)
- Division: Featherweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Almeida +130, Aswell -165
Kaan Ofli vs. Ricardo Ramos
- Records: Ofli (12-4-1 MMA, 0-2 UFC), Ramos (17-7 MMA, 8-6 UFC)
- Division: Featherweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Ofli +165, Ramos -215
Jhonata Diniz vs. Mario Pinto
- Records: Diniz (9-1 MMA, 3-1 UFC), Pinto (10-0 MMA, 1-0 UFC)
- Division: Heavyweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Diniz +100, Pinto -130
Joel Alvarez vs. Vicente Luque
- Records: Alvarez (22-3 MMA, 7-2 UFC), Luque (23-11-1 MMA, 16-7 UFC)
- Division: Welterweight
- Rankings: None
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Alvarez -520, Luque +350
Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Montel Jackson
- Records: Figueiredo (24-5-1 MMA, 13-5-1 UFC), Jackson (15-2 MMA, 9-2 UFC)
- Division: Bantamweight
- Rankings: Figueiredo No. 10, Jackson No. 14
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Figueiredo +220, Jackson -295
Charles Oliveira vs. Mateusz Gamrot
- Records: Oliveira (35-11 MMA, 23-11 UFC), Gamrot (25-3 MMA, 8-3 UFC)
- Division: Lightweight
- Rankings: Oliveira No. 4, Gamrot No. 11
- Odds (as of 10.06.25): Oliveira +100, Gamrot -130
UFC Fight Night 261 fight card (as of Oct. 11, 11 a.m. ET)
MAIN CARD (ESPN+, 7 p.m. ET)
- Charles Oliveira vs. Mateusz Gamrot
- Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Montel Jackson
- Joel Alvarez vs. Vicente Luque
- Jhonata Diniz vs. Mario Pinto
- Kaan Ofli vs. Ricardo Ramos
- Lucas Almeida vs. Michael Aswell
PRELIMINARY CARD (ESPN, 4 p.m. ET)
- Clayton Carpenter vs. Jafel Filho
- Thomas Petersen vs. Vitor Petrino
- Irina Alekseeva vs. Bia Mesquita
- Stewart Nicoll vs. Lucas Rocha
- Mohammed Usman vs. Valter Walker
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs. Julia Polastri
- Luan Lacerda vs. Saimon Oliveira
