The Minnesota Timberwolves and Denver Nuggets meet Sunday for Game 7 of their best-of-7 Western Conference, 2nd-round series. The series is tied 3-3. Tip-off from Ball Arena is set for 8 p.m. ET (TNT). Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets odds and make our expert NBA picks and predictions.
The Timberwolves won the first 2 games in Denver, putting the Nuggets into an 0-2 series hole. Things looked bleak for the defending champs, but they won both Games 3 and 4 in the Twin Cities, before posting a 112-97 win in Game 5 in Denver, pushing the Timberwolves to the brink of elimination.
In Game 6, it was all Minnesota, as the Timberwolves clobbered the Nuggets 115-70 in an elimination game, setting up the decisive Game 7 in the Mile High City. The win snapped a 3-game loss and non-cover streak for Minnesota, and it ended a 3-0 run to the Over, too. The 45-point loss was the worst in franchise history for Denver, and it came at an inopportune time.
Denver was held to just 30.2% (26 of 86) from the field, and just 19% (7 of 36) from behind the 3-point line, while Minnesota also had a dominant 62-to-43 advantage in rebounding.
Timberwolves at Nuggets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:10 a.m. ET.
- Moneyline (ML): Timberwolves +165 (bet $100 to win $165) | Nuggets -200 (bet $200 to win $100)
- Against the spread: Timberwolves +4.5 (-105) | Nuggets -4.5 (-115)
- Over/Under (O/U): 198.5 (O: -105 | U: -115)
Timberwolves at Nuggets key injuries
Timberwolves
- G Mike Conley (Achilles) questionable
Nuggets
- G Jamal Murray (elbow) questionable
For most recent updates: Official NBA injury report.
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Timberwolves at Nuggets picks and predictions
Prediction
Nuggets 107, Timberwolves 101
Moneyline
The Nuggets (-200) are just a little too expensive on the moneyline, costing you 2 times your potential return.
This has been a topsy-turvy series, with the home team just 2-4 straight up and ATS in the first 6 games.
PASS.
Against the spread
The NUGGETS -4.5 (-115) are worth playing lightly in this decisive Game 7.
While Denver lost the first 2 games at home, it got the job done by 15 points on its home floor in Game 5, cashing a similar 4.5-point number as the favorite.
Look for the Nuggets to dig deep after the embarrassment of a franchise-record loss in Game 6, tapping into that championship experience of last season to scrape by a tough Timberwolves team.
Over/Under
OVER 198.5 (-105) is the best play on the board for this Game 7.
Yes, there will be some nerves, and we should see some decent defense at times. However, the Over is 3-1 in the past 4 games in this series, including Game 5 in Denver.
The winner of the past 4 games has scored at least 112 points, although the loser of the first 6 games has managed 99 or fewer points in 5 of the outings. Still, we should get at least 200 points in this Game 7.
For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW.
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