All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I’ve created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Tuesday’s top batter prop bets
Ketel Marte | OVER 0.5 HR (+459)
Projection: 21% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.33 EV
Jazz Chisholm Jr. | OVER 0.5 HR (+553)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.38 EV
Mickey Moniak | OVER 0.5 RBI (+201)
Projection: 37% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.27 EV
Munetaka Murakami | UNDER 0.5 H (+113)
Projection: 56% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.70 EV
Kyle Schwarber | UNDER 0.5 H (+152)
Projection: 47% chance of this bet hitting, with a $18.14 EV
Tuesday’s top pitcher prop bets
Jose Soriano | UNDER 1.5 ER (+122)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.28 EV
Tanner Bibee | OVER 4.5 K (-102)
Projection: 61% chance of this bet hitting, with a $21.04 EV
Davis Martin | UNDER 4.5 K (+124)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $17.89 EV
Jesus Luzardo | OVER 6.5 K (-135)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $22.54 EV
Martin Perez | OVER 3.5 K (+103)
Projection: 57% chance of this bet hitting, with a $16.50 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today’s action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season’s play.
Colorado Rockies Moneyline:
The Rockies have won this bet in four of their last five road games. (+5.85 Units / 117% ROI). Current odds: +169
New York Yankees Moneyline:
The Yankees have won this bet in nine of their last 10 games. (+7.70 Units / 52% ROI). Current odds: -122
San Diego Padres Run Line:
San Diego has covered this bet in nine consecutive home contests. (+10.20 Units / 87% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -134
Kansas City Royals Team Total OVER:
The Royals have hit this over in six straight games. (+6.25 Units / 91% ROI). Current odds: 4.5 @ -120
Chicago White Sox 1st 5 innings (F5) Team Total UNDER:
The White Sox have gone under this bet in six consecutive home games. (+6.30 Units / 83% ROI). Current odds: 1.5 @ -130
