Tampa Bay’s Baker Mayfield (L) and Rachaad White (R) celebrate after White’s rushing touchdown against San Francisco on Oct. 12, 2025. Julio Aguilar / Getty Images
We’re back again with projected point spreads and totals for the NFL’s Week 7 games.
I have developed an NFL Projection Model that takes in play-by-play data to create projections for each team in the NFL. These projections are adjusted for opponent and garbage time before spitting out an expected points-per-game for the offense and defense. From there, I’m able to plug these values into the model and get an expected spread and total for each game of the NFL season.
This week, my model likes the Chargers against the Colts by half a point and the Lions by four points against the Buccaneers.
Here are the projections for all of the NFL’s Week 7 games:
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