It took us a while, but we’re finally back in the good graces of the betting gods after a slow start to the season betting on player props.
Last week we smashed the betting lines on Ja’Marr Chase and Michael Wilson and won big by laddering their yards totals and hit a +700 and +425 wager on the two receivers.
On the day, we profited over 13 units and are back into the green on the season.
We move into Week 9 red hot, as since Week 8 we’re smashing the lines, with over 20 units of profit.
We look to keep on rolling this week with a big slate of games to target with some shootout potential.
RECORD: 12-10 (+1.45 units) | Long shots: 4-16 (+7.4 units)
NFL Week 9 player props picks and predictions
Malik Willis over 28.5 rushing yards (-114, FanDuel) | 50+ (+335, BetRivers)
The Dolphins would be wise to let Malik Willis run this weekend against a lackluster Lions defense.
Detroit is allowing opposing quarterbacks to run for 20.86 yards per game, the seventh most in the league and it’s not like they’ve faced Lamar Jackson or Jayden Daniels this year.
Willis has cleared 50 rushing yards twice this season and scored a touchdown in two of his last three games.
This weekend provides a shootout opportunity for Willis who is very familiar with the Lions defense from his time with the Packers. Target the Dolphins quarterbacks with a variety of wagers this weekend.
Drake London 70+ receiving yards (-144, DraftKings) | Over 99.5 (+206, DraftKings)
Drake London gets the right spot against a beatable secondary that just made Cam Ward look competent.
Michael Penix Jr.’s favorite target should be able to get some separation against Cincinnati. Coming into that monsoon in Tampa Bay, London was fourth in yards per route run, and I expect a better regression to the mean this week in what should be a very entertaining game.
London faces a Bengals defense that is allowing 5.7 yards per play, seventh worst in the league, though DVOA loves them for reasons unclear ranking them as a top 10 defense.
Betting on the NFL?
Justin Jefferson over 75.5 receiving yards (-110, BetMGM) | 120+ yards (+412, DraftKings)
Welcome back, Justin Jefferson. He hasn’t gone anywhere; he’s actually playing games. But with one of the league’s worst quarterbacks throwing him the ball, he’s been mostly a ghost on the field.
Jefferson gets Carson Wentz to throw him the ball this weekend against the Bills, and he’s made it a point in the media this week to say he’s getting Jefferson the rock early and often.
Expect a big game for Jefferson on “Monday Night Football” as a little bonus pick.
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.
