Basketball / NBA W
08/07/2025 – 03:00
Phoenix Mercury W
VS
Dallas Wings W
Odds updated on July 6, 2025 at 3:45 pm
On Monday, July 7, the Phoenix Mercury (12-6) will host the Dallas Wings (6-13) in a WNBA regular-season matchup. The Mercury are in the third position whereas the Wings have improved to the 11th rank.
This will be the second straight meeting between the two. The Wings came on top during the first meet with a 98-89 scoreline. Rookie Aziaha James’ 28-point effort helped the Wings survive a 33-point outburst by Kahleah Copper.
Can the veterans of Mercury avenge their loss against the youth movement? Check the predictions related to player props, total, and spread here.
Where to Watch Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings
- Time: 10:00 PM (ET)
- Venue: Footprint Center (Phoenix, Arizona)
- Where to watch: This game can be viewed on the WNBA League Pass.
Here is an overview of my selections
| Picks | BetMGM Odds |
| Total O 164.5 | -115 |
| Projected Spread- Mercury -6.5 | -105 |
| Alyssa Thomas O 10.5 Assists | -110 |
| Money Line- Mercury | -250 |
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Total Over/Under Prediction- WNBA Best Bets
The last game produced 187 points. The Mercury has now scored 80+ in six straight games, crossing the 88-point mark thrice. On the other hand, the Wings have cracked 80 or so fewer times. But they have scored 86 or more in four of the last six games.
Defensively, both teams have been in similar terrain but the Mercury are better overall. The latest battle between the two suggests another high-scorer. So, I will opt for “over” here.
Total: Over 164.5 for -105 at BetMGM
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Player Props Predictions- WNBA Betting Picks
Alyssa Thomas O 10.5 assists: Thomas has unsurprisingly been the most productive playmaker this season. She has averaged 9.4 assists per game, dealing 10 or more helpers in six of the last nine games. I expect her to be in similar terrain.
Paige Bueckers U 18.5 points: Bueckers is averaging an amazing 18.7 PPG as the rookie. She has put up 20 or more in five of the last six games. I see the Mercury holding her below her season average here.
Sami Whitcomb O 3.5 threes: Whitcomb has knocked 2.1 triples per game this season. Her five-game streak of 3+ triples was broken in the last game (1-7). I see her getting back in the groove here.
Main pick: Alyssa Tomhas O 10.5 assists for -110 at BetMGM
Get up 1,500$ back in bonus bet if your first bet doesn’t win !
21+. AZ/CO/IL/IN/IA/KS/LA/MD/MA/MI/NJ/OH/PA/TN/ VA/WV/WY only. Offer not available in DC/MS/NV/NY/PR. New customers only. Qualifying deposit (min $10) and first real money wager required. If qualifying bet settles as a loss, user is refunded 100% in non-withdrawable bonus bets up to $1,500. Full T&Cs can be found on betmgm.com.
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Spread Prediction
The Wings turned the tables on the Mercury in the last game. The most exciting part was that it was the rookie trio who got the job done. The Mercury has seen their tendencies, though. They will be prepared for a big-time reply here. I see their defense dialing it in the second half. I see them shutting down Paige Bueckers here and taking away the three-ball from the Wings. The Mercury is likely to cover the spread here.
Spread/Money Line Pick: Projected Spread: Mercury -6.5 for -105 at BetMGM
Phoenix Mercury vs Dallas Wings Lineups, News, Stats
Phoenix Mercury
- Kahleah Copper had scored fewer than 17 points in all games before her 33-point outing.
- Satou Sabally has scored 20 or more in 10 of the 18 appearances.
- The Mercury is 7-3 at home.
Mercury Expected Starting Lineup
SG: Monique Akoa Makani | SG: Kahleah Copper | SF: Alyssa Thomas | SF: Kathryn Westbeld | PF/C: Satou Sabally
Key bench players: SF: Sami Whitcomb, C: Kalani Brown, SG: Kitija Laksa, PF: Natasha Mack.
Injuries/Updates: Lexi Held continues to be OUT.
Dallas Wings
- Rookie Aziaha James is averaging 16 PPG in the last six games.
- The Wings have won four of their last six games with Paige Bueckers.
- Li Yueru is tallying 7.4 points and 7 rebounds per game with Wings (two double-doubles)
Wings Expected Starting Lineup
PG: Paige Bueckers | SG: Aziaha James | SG: JJ Quirnleys | PF/C: Luisa Geiseldor | C: Li Yueru
Key bench players: PF: Myisha Hines-Allen, C: Teaira McCowan, SF: Liatu King
Injuries/Updates: DiJonai Carrington, Arike Ogunbowale, and Maddy Siegrist are likely going to be OUT. Tyasha Harris is OUT FOR THE SEASON.
Photo Credit: Kevin Jairaj-Imagn Images
