Nov 30, 2025, 11:00 AM ET
The long holiday weekend wraps up with the Denver Broncos visiting the Washington Commanders on “Sunday Night Football.”
The Broncos have won eight straight and are coming off a bye after beating the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 11. Denver’s two losses have come by a combined four points.
After reaching the NFC title game last season, the Commanders are in the midst of a lost campaign. Washington has lost six straight and once again will be without quarterback Jayden Daniels .
The Commanders head into Sunday night’s tilt as 6.5-point underdogs to the AFC West-leading Broncos.
Matt Bowen, Liz Loza, Pamela Maldonado and Eric Moody offer their picks, prop plays and analysis to help you bet the game.
Note: Odds subject to change. For the latest updates, visit ESPN BET Sportsbook .
Jump to:Game picks | Prop bets | Betting trends
Game picks
Player props, bets
Player
Yards (O/U)
TDs (O/U)
Bo Nix 222.5 (-115/-115)
1.5 (-130/Even)
Marcus Mariota 192.5 (-115/-115)
0.5 (-250/+180)
RJ Harvey rushing yards OVER 51.5 (-110)
Loza: Harvey underwhelmed in his first showing without J.K. Dobbins on the field, but he was facing a Kansas City Chiefs run defense that also bottled up Jonathan Taylor (58 rushing yards on 16 attempts, 3.6 YPC) a week ago. Regardless, the rookie back emerged as Denver’s RB1, far out-snapping and out-touching both Tyler Badie and Jaleel McLaughlin . The matchup at Washington this go-around is decidedly softer. The Commanders are giving up a healthy 4.7 YPC and have allowed the fourth-most rushing yards to the position over the past four weeks. Maybe the bye and Dan Quinn will bolster the unit, but there’s not likely to be a turnaround in Week 13.
Troy Franklin receiving yards OVER 45.5 (-110)
Maldonado: Washington’s secondary is a major liability, not just a week-to-week fluctuation. The Commanders are allowing a league-high 8.9 yards per pass attempt and a league-high passer rating on deep throws and have the worst yards per target to wideouts. Franklin has out-targeted or matched Courtland Sutton in six straight games, owning the high-leverage routes and red zone work. He doesn’t need volume; two completions can get it done. This matchup creates those windows. Denver’s implied scoring — and Washington’s broken coverage — make Franklin the most logical over on the board.
Franklin 15+ first quarter receiving yards (+150)
Bowen: With two weeks to prep, I’m betting on Sean Payton’s opening script versus a Commanders defense that ranks in the bottom five versus the pass. Looked for schemed throws here early, which opens the door for Franklin.
Courtland Sutton receiving yards OVER 48.5 (-115)
Moody: Sutton (74) is now behind Franklin (81) in targets as the Broncos return from their Week 12 bye. The rapport between Franklin and Bo Nix goes back to their Oregon days, but Sutton has still cleared this line in three of his past five games. Sutton has big-play ability and draws a favorable matchup against a Commanders secondary that ranks near the bottom of the league versus perimeter receivers and allows the third-most receiving yards per game to the position.
Betting trends
Courtesy of ESPN Research
Washington is 1-7 ATS as an underdog this season.
The Commanders are 0-6 ATS in their past six games.
The Commanders are 1-5 ATS against teams with winning records this season.
Denver’s past four games have gone under the total.
The Broncos are 1-4 ATS against teams with losing records this season.
