All the prop bet recommendations, betting projections and trends are generated by THE BAT X, a system that I’ve created using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing and more. Betting projections for every player, team and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to place a $1 wager 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Other resources: Fantasy lineup advice | WS odds | Fantasy Buzz
Wednesday’s top batter prop bets
Roman Anthony | OVER 0.5 HR (+690)
Projection: 15% chance of this bet hitting, with a $19.84 EV
Kyle Tucker | OVER 0.5 HR (+565)
Projection: 17% chance of this bet hitting, with a $15.31 EV
Adolis Garcia | OVER 0.5 RBI (+226)
Projection: 34% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.72 EV
Will Benson | UNDER 0.5 H (+142)
Projection: 52% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.37 EV
Carlos Cortes | UNDER 1.5 H+R+RBI (+118)
Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting, with a $20.60 EV
Wednesday’s top pitcher prop bets
David Peterson | OVER 5.5 K (+118)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $31.21 EV
Tarik Skubal | UNDER 6.5 K (-121)
Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $26.14 EV
Taj Bradley | UNDER 2.5 ER (-133)
Projection: 62% chance of this bet hitting, with a $12.23 EV
Chris Bassitt | OVER 4.5 K (+118)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $14.65 EV
Brandon Williamson | OVER 4.5 K (+127)
Projection: 49% chance of this bet hitting, with a $10.62 EV
THE BAT X: Team Projections
Top betting trends
Note: While trends can be fun to examine and provide a snapshot of how teams have been doing, please be aware that past results are never fully predictive of future performance. These may be some of the strongest current trends, but they are not necessarily recommendations for today’s action. Early in the season, these trends may extend back to last season’s play.
Tampa Bay Rays Run Line:
The Rays are in the middle of a six-game winning streak. (+8.15 Units / 107% ROI). Current odds: 1 @ -163
Athletics 1st 5 innings (F5) Moneyline:
The Athletics have won this bet in five straight games. (+5.90 Units / 113% ROI). Current odds: -115
Atlanta Braves Team Total OVER:
Atlanta has hit this over in six consecutive home games. (+6.05 Units / 88% ROI). Current odds: 3.5 @ -105
St. Louis Cardinals Moneyline:
The Cardinals have gone 8-2 in their last 10 road games. (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI). Current odds: +129
